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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 16.8 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave 0–4 Sporting CP | 0.47–1.66 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara | 0.41–1.41 | 11% · 27% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Santa Clara had 62% |
| Arouca 2–1 Maritimo | 1.65–0.67 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Academico Viseu 0–3 FC Porto | 0.80–1.47 | 20% · 27% · 53% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Nacional 2–3 Estrela | 0.83–2.10 | 14% · 20% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense | 0.77–0.28 | 45% · 43% · 13% | Won against the xG: Moreirense |
| Famalicao 0–0 Gil Vicente | 0.23–0.28 | 16% · 64% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Benfica 2–1 Estoril | 2.03–0.36 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| SC Braga 1–0 Vitória Guimarães | 0.93–0.47 | 45% · 37% · 18% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.