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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.3 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense | 2.90–0.85 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Estrela 2–2 Famalicao | 0.94–1.80 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Famalicao had 58% |
| Alverca 1–2 SC Braga | 1.08–2.27 | 17% · 19% · 64% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Maritimo 0–3 Benfica | 0.12–1.31 | 3% · 28% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional | 3.00–0.08 | 94% · 6% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Santa Clara 4–0 Rio Ave | 1.80–0.32 | 74% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Casa Pia | 2.48–0.21 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Vitória Guimarães had 87% |
| Gil Vicente 0–1 Academico Viseu | 1.88–0.33 | 75% · 19% · 6% | Won against the xG: Academico Viseu |
| Estoril 0–0 Arouca | 0.86–1.07 | 29% · 31% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.