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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 28.4 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional 1–3 Alverca | 2.20–1.16 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Won against the xG: Alverca |
| Casa Pia 1–4 FC Porto | 1.59–2.60 | 22% · 18% · 59% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Academico Viseu 2–1 Vitória Guimarães | 1.83–2.10 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Close call, Academico Viseu won |
| Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara | 0.72–1.16 | 23% · 31% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Santa Clara |
| Benfica 3–1 Gil Vicente | 2.90–1.11 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Famalicao 1–1 Sporting CP | 0.35–2.28 | 4% · 14% · 81% | Draw against the xG: Sporting CP had 81% |
| Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela | 1.23–1.87 | 25% · 23% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 52% |
| Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo | 2.00–0.76 | 66% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| SC Braga 1–0 Estoril | 1.79–0.75 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.