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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.5 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente 1–1 Maritimo | 1.20–0.86 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nacional 0–4 Famalicao | 1.23–1.45 | 32% · 26% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave | 3.30–0.29 | 92% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Alverca |
| Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca | 1.28–2.08 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Arouca had 56% |
| Estrela 0–2 Academico Viseu | 0.84–2.54 | 10% · 16% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Academico Viseu |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Moreirense | 1.07–0.52 | 49% · 33% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia | 0.95–2.17 | 15% · 19% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Santa Clara 0–0 SC Braga | 1.04–0.50 | 48% · 34% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 3–1 Benfica | 1.30–0.84 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.