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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.1 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense 0–1 Gil Vicente | 1.09–1.49 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| SC Braga 1–3 Sporting CP | 1.50–0.95 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Won against the xG: Sporting CP |
| Maritimo 1–2 FC Porto | 0.19–2.13 | 2% · 14% · 83% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Academico Viseu 2–1 Estoril | 0.73–1.36 | 20% · 28% · 52% | Won against the xG: Academico Viseu |
| Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara | 0.43–0.61 | 21% · 45% · 33% | Close call, Santa Clara won |
| Rio Ave 3–2 Nacional | 1.66–1.21 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Benfica 2–0 Vitória Guimarães | 2.76–0.43 | 86% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Arouca 1–0 Estrela | 0.74–1.45 | 19% · 27% · 54% | Won against the xG: Arouca |
| Famalicao 1–4 Alverca | 0.40–2.92 | 3% · 9% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Alverca |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.