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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães 5–0 Maritimo | 1.82–0.54 | 68% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Estrela 0–2 Casa Pia | 1.72–0.81 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Won against the xG: Casa Pia |
| Alverca 0–1 Arouca | 0.43–2.06 | 7% · 17% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Gil Vicente 0–1 FC Porto | 0.43–1.13 | 14% · 33% · 53% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Estoril 1–3 Moreirense | 2.09–1.39 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Won against the xG: Moreirense |
| Nacional 1–0 SC Braga | 0.52–1.69 | 11% · 23% · 66% | Won against the xG: Nacional |
| Rio Ave 0–4 Famalicao | 0.66–1.71 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Famalicao |
| Sporting CP 1–2 Academico Viseu | 2.06–0.86 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Won against the xG: Academico Viseu |
| Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica | 1.60–1.83 | 34% · 22% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.