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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 19.1 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP | 0.39–2.71 | 3% · 11% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Moreirense 2–1 Estrela | 0.52–0.74 | 23% · 40% · 37% | Close call, Moreirense won |
| FC Porto 4–0 Estoril | 3.13–0.64 | 86% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Arouca 1–0 Nacional | 0.74–0.34 | 41% · 43% · 15% | Close call, Arouca won |
| Academico Viseu 2–1 Rio Ave | 0.94–1.14 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Close call, Academico Viseu won |
| Maritimo 0–2 Santa Clara | 2.10–0.84 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Won against the xG: Santa Clara |
| SC Braga 3–0 Famalicao | 1.19–0.19 | 63% · 31% · 6% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Benfica 1–0 Alverca | 1.68–0.62 | 63% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Gil Vicente 0–0 Vitória Guimarães | 0.73–0.48 | 37% · 41% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.