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8 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.5 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ural 0–1 Akhmat | 2.94–1.17 | 73% · 14% · 12% | Won against the xG: Akhmat |
| Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 Rubin | 1.04–1.81 | 22% · 23% · 55% | Won against the xG: Nizhny Novgorod |
| Krylia Sovetov 3–0 Fakel | 1.32–0.57 | 55% · 29% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Krylia Sovetov |
| FC Krasnodar 2–0 Spartak Moscow | 2.45–0.99 | 69% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for FC Krasnodar |
| FC Orenburg 3–0 FC Sochi | 3.01–0.63 | 85% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for FC Orenburg |
| Lokomotiv 3–2 Baltika | 2.63–1.80 | 56% · 18% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv |
| CSKA Moscow 1–1 Zenit | 1.19–1.20 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Rostov 1–2 Dynamo | 1.32–2.46 | 19% · 18% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.