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7 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 18.6 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg 1–1 CSKA Moscow | 1.66–0.29 | 72% · 22% · 6% | Draw against the xG: FC Orenburg had 72% |
| Fakel 0–0 FC Krasnodar | 0.54–2.66 | 5% · 12% · 82% | Draw against the xG: FC Krasnodar had 82% |
| Zenit 4–0 Ural | 2.12–0.27 | 81% · 15% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Zenit |
| Rubin 2–2 Dynamo | 1.99–1.05 | 59% · 21% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Rubin had 59% |
| Nizhny Novgorod 1–0 FC Rostov | 2.95–0.62 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Nizhny Novgorod |
| Krylia Sovetov 2–1 Baltika | 1.25–1.06 | 41% · 28% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Krylia Sovetov |
| FC Sochi 0–1 Lokomotiv | 0.79–1.30 | 23% · 29% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.