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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 19.6 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow 2–0 Nizhny Novgorod | 2.40–0.24 | 86% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Moscow |
| Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Krylia Sovetov | 1.55–0.52 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Makhachkala |
| Rubin 0–0 Dynamo | 0.83–1.31 | 24% · 28% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Rostov 0–1 Akron | 1.15–1.33 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Akron |
| Zenit 2–0 Lokomotiv | 1.14–0.39 | 55% · 32% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Zenit |
| FC Orenburg 3–1 FC Sochi | 1.58–1.10 | 48% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for FC Orenburg |
| Baltika 2–0 Akhmat | 1.27–1.63 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Won against the xG: Baltika |
| FC Krasnodar 2–1 Spartak Moscow | 2.34–0.83 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for FC Krasnodar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.