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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.1 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1 Akron | 1.07–1.22 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Baltika | 1.24–2.16 | 21% · 20% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Baltika had 58% |
| CSKA Moscow 5–1 Rubin | 1.64–2.90 | 20% · 17% · 64% | Won against the xG: CSKA Moscow |
| Lokomotiv 4–2 Spartak Moscow | 1.96–1.27 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv |
| Akhmat 1–0 Zenit | 0.80–0.87 | 31% · 34% · 35% | Close call, Akhmat won |
| FC Orenburg 0–1 FC Krasnodar | 1.00–1.88 | 20% · 22% · 58% | Win in line with xG for FC Krasnodar |
| FC Sochi 1–1 Dynamo | 0.18–1.86 | 3% · 18% · 79% | Draw against the xG: Dynamo had 79% |
| FC Rostov 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod | 1.93–0.16 | 81% · 16% · 2% | Win in line with xG for FC Rostov |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.