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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 21.8 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rostov 1–4 Krylia Sovetov | 1.57–0.72 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Won against the xG: Krylia Sovetov |
| Nizhny Novgorod 2–3 Lokomotiv | 1.41–1.28 | 40% · 26% · 34% | Close call, Lokomotiv won |
| FC Krasnodar 1–0 Dynamo | 1.74–0.05 | 81% · 18% · 1% | Win in line with xG for FC Krasnodar |
| Akron 1–1 Spartak Moscow | 2.68–1.06 | 72% · 16% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Akron had 72% |
| Baltika 3–2 FC Orenburg | 2.35–1.89 | 49% · 20% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Baltika |
| Zenit 1–1 CSKA Moscow | 3.17–0.49 | 88% · 8% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Zenit had 88% |
| Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 Akhmat | 0.60–0.85 | 24% · 37% · 39% | Close call, Dinamo Makhachkala won |
| Rubin 2–1 FC Sochi | 1.47–0.43 | 63% · 26% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Rubin |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.