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8 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 18.2 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov 2–0 Nizhny Novgorod | 0.90–0.67 | 39% · 35% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Krylia Sovetov |
| Spartak Moscow 0–3 Baltika | 0.30–2.08 | 4% · 16% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Baltika |
| Dynamo 1–0 FC Rostov | 0.60–0.65 | 28% · 41% · 31% | Close call, Dynamo won |
| FC Krasnodar 1–2 Lokomotiv | 1.40–2.07 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv |
| FC Sochi 0–4 Akron | 0.58–2.15 | 9% · 18% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Akron |
| CSKA Moscow 2–1 Akhmat | 1.83–1.44 | 47% · 23% · 30% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Moscow |
| FC Orenburg 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala | 0.64–0.56 | 32% · 42% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rubin 2–2 Zenit | 1.03–1.35 | 29% · 27% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.