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8 of 9 matches with xG: 8 goals from 19.9 xG (0.40 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Fayha | 1.57–0.97 | 51% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Al Shabab |
| Al-Fateh 1–1 Al-Hazm | 1.50–1.32 | 42% · 25% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Ittihad FC 1–0 Al Najma | 1.94–0.61 | 69% · 20% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al Riyadh 0–1 Al-Nassr | 0.41–1.48 | 10% · 26% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.46–0.83 | 19% · 39% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Okhdood 1–1 NEOM | 0.81–2.85 | 8% · 13% · 79% | Draw against the xG: NEOM had 79% |
| Damac 0–0 Al Kholood | 1.58–1.40 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 0–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 0.59–1.58 | 14% · 25% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.