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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 31.1 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma 1–1 Al Riyadh | 1.63–0.69 | 60% · 24% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Al Najma had 60% |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–0 Al-Ettifaq | 3.50–0.33 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Fayha 3–1 Al Khaleej Saihat | 0.85–1.28 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Won against the xG: Al-Fayha |
| Al-Fateh 2–2 Al-Ittihad FC | 1.40–3.19 | 13% · 14% · 73% | Draw against the xG: Al-Ittihad FC had 73% |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1.02–3.75 | 6% · 9% · 85% | Draw against the xG: Al-Hilal Saudi FC had 85% |
| Al-Hazm 0–4 Al Shabab | 0.23–2.26 | 3% · 13% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Al Shabab |
| Al Taawon 1–0 Al Okhdood | 1.85–2.55 | 28% · 19% · 53% | Won against the xG: Al Taawon |
| NEOM 3–0 Damac | 2.42–0.99 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al Kholood 0–3 Al-Nassr | 0.27–2.84 | 2% · 9% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.