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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.1 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damac 2–1 Al Taawon | 0.88–0.91 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Close call, Damac won |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–0 NEOM | 1.10–0.76 | 43% · 32% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Hazm 2–1 Al Okhdood | 1.89–0.49 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hazm |
| Al Shabab 2–5 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.27–4.20 | 6% · 8% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0 Al-Ettifaq | 2.85–0.69 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al-Fayha | 0.90–0.66 | 39% · 35% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al Riyadh 1–1 Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.57–0.78 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Al Riyadh had 56% |
| Al Najma 2–1 Al Kholood | 0.63–3.30 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Won against the xG: Al Najma |
| Al-Fateh 0–2 Al-Nassr | 0.83–1.34 | 23% · 28% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.