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9 of 9 matches with xG: 36 goals from 30.6 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–1 Al Najma | 3.60–0.54 | 91% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Ettifaq 4–3 Al-Fateh | 2.32–1.86 | 49% · 20% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ettifaq |
| Al Kholood 0–2 Al Riyadh | 0.84–1.22 | 25% · 30% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Al Riyadh |
| Al Okhdood 2–4 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 0.85–3.84 | 4% · 7% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al Taawon 2–3 Al-Fayha | 2.76–0.81 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Won against the xG: Al-Fayha |
| Damac 1–3 Al Shabab | 1.81–0.92 | 58% · 23% · 19% | Won against the xG: Al Shabab |
| Al-Nassr 4–0 Al-Hazm | 3.48–0.47 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC | 2.79–0.77 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Al-Hilal Saudi FC had 79% |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 0–1 NEOM | 0.09–1.58 | 2% · 22% · 77% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.