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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 23.0 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh 0–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.22–1.54 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Fateh 1–1 Damac | 2.13–0.18 | 84% · 14% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Al-Fateh had 84% |
| Al-Hazm 3–1 Al-Ettifaq | 1.61–1.15 | 48% · 25% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hazm |
| Al Shabab 3–5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0.75–1.68 | 16% · 24% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Ittihad FC 1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.11–0.40 | 54% · 33% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Al Taawon | 2.03–0.08 | 85% · 14% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Al-Qadisiyah FC had 85% |
| Al-Fayha 1–3 Al-Nassr | 0.11–3.29 | 0% · 5% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al Najma 1–3 Al Okhdood | 1.37–2.23 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Al Okhdood |
| NEOM 1–2 Al Kholood | 1.11–1.05 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Close call, Al Kholood won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.