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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.6 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damac 3–0 Al Riyadh | 1.28–0.79 | 48% · 29% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Damac |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 2–1 Al-Hazm | 1.41–0.55 | 58% · 27% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Al Khaleej Saihat |
| Al Taawon 3–2 Al-Fateh | 3.19–1.24 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Al Taawon |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4–0 Al Najma | 2.83–0.02 | 94% · 6% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Ittihad FC | 2.05–1.07 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al Okhdood 0–5 Al-Fayha | 0.16–2.54 | 1% · 10% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fayha |
| Al Kholood 1–4 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1.28–2.29 | 20% · 19% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Nassr 1–0 NEOM | 2.76–0.64 | 81% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al Shabab | 0.41–2.06 | 6% · 17% · 77% | Draw against the xG: Al Shabab had 77% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.