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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 27.7 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm 2–1 Al Kholood | 2.05–0.98 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hazm |
| Al Najma 1–3 Damac | 0.60–1.67 | 13% · 24% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Damac |
| NEOM 2–2 Al Taawon | 1.40–0.70 | 54% · 28% · 19% | Draw against the xG: NEOM had 54% |
| Al Riyadh 3–1 Al-Ittihad FC | 3.83–1.27 | 82% · 10% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Al Riyadh |
| Al-Fayha 1–0 Al-Ettifaq | 0.92–0.77 | 37% · 34% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fayha |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 3–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.66–1.79 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Won against the xG: Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al Shabab 2–0 Al Okhdood | 3.93–0.37 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Al Shabab |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 0–5 Al-Nassr | 1.16–3.44 | 9% · 11% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Fateh 0–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0.70–1.48 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.