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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.7 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kholood 2–2 Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.03–1.69 | 23% · 24% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Al Khaleej Saihat had 53% |
| Al-Ittihad FC 1–0 Al-Hazm | 1.46–0.91 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| Al-Nassr 5–2 Al Najma | 3.97–0.80 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–0 Damac | 1.35–0.48 | 59% · 28% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| NEOM 1–0 Al-Fayha | 1.97–0.91 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–2 Al Taawon | 2.36–0.46 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Al-Hilal Saudi FC had 80% |
| Al Okhdood 1–0 Al-Fateh | 0.53–1.25 | 16% · 30% · 54% | Won against the xG: Al Okhdood |
| Al-Ettifaq 3–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1.46–2.50 | 21% · 18% · 60% | Won against the xG: Al-Ettifaq |
| Al Riyadh 1–1 Al Shabab | 1.67–1.92 | 34% · 22% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.