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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damac 1–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 0.27–1.42 | 7% · 26% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Al-Qadisiyah FC had 67% |
| Al-Ettifaq 2–3 Al Riyadh | 1.97–1.91 | 41% · 21% · 38% | Close call, Al Riyadh won |
| Al Najma 2–1 NEOM | 0.55–2.35 | 7% · 15% · 78% | Won against the xG: Al Najma |
| Al Taawon 1–2 Al Kholood | 1.83–1.02 | 56% · 23% · 21% | Won against the xG: Al Kholood |
| Al-Hazm 2–0 Al-Fayha | 1.70–1.12 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hazm |
| Al Okhdood 0–2 Al-Nassr | 0.09–3.15 | 0% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 1–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0.57–1.79 | 11% · 22% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Fateh | 4.89–1.38 | 89% · 6% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al Shabab 3–2 Al-Ittihad FC | 1.56–1.73 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Close call, Al Shabab won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.