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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 33.2 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.36–1.58 | 33% · 24% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 6–0 Al Kholood | 2.91–0.88 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Ittihad FC 3–4 NEOM | 2.46–2.49 | 40% · 18% · 41% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al Shabab | 2.99–3.55 | 34% · 16% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Al Shabab had 51% |
| Al-Nassr 1–0 Al-Ettifaq | 3.14–1.00 | 79% · 12% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al Najma 1–2 Al Taawon | 0.76–1.34 | 21% · 28% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Al Taawon |
| Damac 2–0 Al Okhdood | 1.55–0.74 | 57% · 26% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Damac |
| Al-Fateh 1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.15–0.70 | 46% · 31% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fateh |
| Al-Hazm 2–1 Al Riyadh | 2.04–2.57 | 31% · 19% · 50% | Close call, Al-Hazm won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.