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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 26.1 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damac 1–1 Al-Fateh | 0.66–1.49 | 16% · 26% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Al-Fateh had 57% |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1 Al Riyadh | 2.57–1.11 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Al-Ahli Jeddah had 69% |
| Al Kholood 2–3 NEOM | 1.14–0.67 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Won against the xG: NEOM |
| Al Okhdood 2–1 Al Najma | 2.14–1.04 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Al Okhdood |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–0 Al Shabab | 0.81–0.98 | 29% · 33% · 38% | Close call, Al-Hilal Saudi FC won |
| Al-Ettifaq 2–2 Al-Hazm | 1.64–1.04 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Al-Ettifaq had 51% |
| Al Taawon 2–0 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1.14–1.36 | 31% · 27% · 42% | Close call, Al Taawon won |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 4–4 Al-Ittihad FC | 2.15–2.65 | 32% · 18% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Fayha | 2.77–0.73 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.