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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 29.8 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm 1–4 Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.28–2.07 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Al Khaleej Saihat |
| Al Riyadh 1–1 Damac | 0.17–2.21 | 2% · 13% · 85% | Draw against the xG: Damac had 85% |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–0 Al Kholood | 4.29–0.49 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Fayha 2–0 Al Okhdood | 1.17–0.65 | 48% · 31% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fayha |
| Al-Fateh 2–5 Al Taawon | 2.31–3.71 | 22% · 14% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Al Taawon |
| Al Najma 2–4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0.49–2.66 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| NEOM 1–3 Al-Nassr | 0.72–3.59 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al Shabab 1–1 Al-Ettifaq | 0.66–1.33 | 19% · 29% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Al-Ettifaq had 53% |
| Al-Ittihad FC 0–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.57–1.41 | 15% · 27% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.