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6 of 9 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.6 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damac 0–0 Al Najma | 1.13–0.50 | 51% · 32% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Damac had 51% |
| Al-Ettifaq 3–2 Al-Fayha | 0.98–3.10 | 9% · 12% · 79% | Won against the xG: Al-Ettifaq |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–1 Al-Fateh | 2.66–0.98 | 73% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al Okhdood 1–1 Al Shabab | 1.19–1.58 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Taawon 1–1 NEOM | 0.99–2.22 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Draw against the xG: NEOM had 65% |
| Al-Nassr 4–1 Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.81–1.51 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.