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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.1 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab 3–1 Al Riyadh | 2.76–1.97 | 55% · 18% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Al Shabab |
| Damac 0–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.35–0.75 | 16% · 43% · 42% | Close call, Al-Ahli Jeddah won |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–0 Al-Ettifaq | 3.95–0.34 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Fateh 2–1 Al Okhdood | 2.95–0.49 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fateh |
| Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC | 1.07–0.75 | 43% · 32% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 2–3 Al Kholood | 1.62–1.70 | 37% · 23% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Al Kholood |
| Al Taawon 1–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1.44–1.99 | 28% · 22% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Al-Hilal Saudi FC had 50% |
| Al-Fayha 1–1 NEOM | 0.54–1.18 | 17% · 31% · 52% | Draw against the xG: NEOM had 52% |
| Al Najma 0–5 Al-Nassr | 0.22–2.99 | 1% · 7% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.