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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.3 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha 0–0 Al-Hazm | 1.00–0.22 | 56% · 36% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Al-Fayha had 56% |
| NEOM 2–1 Al Najma | 2.06–1.13 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Win in line with xG for NEOM |
| Al Riyadh 0–2 Al-Ettifaq | 0.81–1.69 | 18% · 24% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ettifaq |
| Al-Fateh 2–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.82–1.41 | 22% · 27% · 51% | Won against the xG: Al-Fateh |
| Al Kholood 0–2 Al Taawon | 0.75–1.18 | 23% · 30% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Al Taawon |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–2 Al Khaleej Saihat | 2.85–0.89 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Damac | 2.01–0.49 | 74% · 19% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Al-Qadisiyah FC had 74% |
| Al-Nassr 3–0 Al Okhdood | 2.24–0.17 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al-Ittihad FC 2–0 Al Shabab | 2.98–0.59 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.