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7 of 9 matches with xG: 16 goals from 17.1 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej Saihat 0–1 Al-Fateh | 1.03–0.99 | 36% · 31% · 34% | Close call, Al-Fateh won |
| Al Taawon 1–0 Al Najma | 1.46–0.80 | 53% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Al Taawon |
| Al Riyadh 1–2 Al-Hazm | 0.76–0.82 | 30% · 36% · 34% | Close call, Al-Hazm won |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Al-Fayha | 1.85–0.60 | 67% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Ettifaq 2–2 Al-Nassr | 0.75–2.08 | 12% · 19% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Al-Nassr had 68% |
| Al Okhdood 0–1 Damac | 0.60–0.32 | 36% · 48% · 16% | Won against the xG: Damac |
| Al Kholood 1–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1.38–3.61 | 10% · 12% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.