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6 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.4 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma 2–2 Al Khaleej Saihat | 2.05–1.90 | 43% · 21% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Ettifaq 2–0 Al Okhdood | 2.68–0.68 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ettifaq |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–2 Al-Nassr | 2.89–1.00 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Fateh 2–0 Al Shabab | 2.02–0.55 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fateh |
| Al-Fayha 0–5 Al Kholood | 1.17–1.04 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Close call, Al Kholood won |
| Al-Ittihad FC 1–0 Al Taawon | 3.58–0.82 | 87% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.