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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 29.8 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–0 Al-Hazm | 1.83–0.09 | 81% · 17% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al-Nassr 1–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.14–2.13 | 40% · 20% · 40% | Close call, Al-Qadisiyah FC won |
| Al Najma 3–4 Al-Ettifaq | 1.94–2.22 | 35% · 20% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ettifaq |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 4–0 Damac | 3.29–0.13 | 95% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Al Khaleej Saihat |
| Al Taawon 2–0 Al Shabab | 3.45–0.36 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Al Taawon |
| Al Kholood 0–4 Al-Ittihad FC | 0.32–4.25 | 1% · 3% · 96% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad FC |
| NEOM 0–1 Al-Fateh | 1.28–0.48 | 57% · 30% · 14% | Won against the xG: Al-Fateh |
| Al Riyadh 1–1 Al-Fayha | 1.75–1.51 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Okhdood 0–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.79–1.82 | 16% · 22% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.