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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 29.5 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm 3–2 Al Najma | 2.06–0.65 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hazm |
| Al-Ettifaq 1–2 Al Khaleej Saihat | 2.18–2.54 | 34% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Al Khaleej Saihat |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–1 Al-Nassr | 2.08–0.82 | 67% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
| Al Okhdood 1–0 Al Kholood | 0.77–1.12 | 25% · 31% · 44% | Won against the xG: Al Okhdood |
| Al-Fateh 3–1 Al Riyadh | 3.28–1.59 | 70% · 14% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Al-Fateh |
| Damac 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC | 0.74–0.77 | 31% · 37% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 5–0 Al-Fayha | 2.98–0.54 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–1 Al Taawon | 2.35–1.09 | 65% · 18% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al Shabab 3–2 NEOM | 2.69–1.22 | 69% · 16% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Al Shabab |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.