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6 of 9 matches with xG: 16 goals from 13.6 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma 1–1 Al-Fateh | 1.65–1.65 | 38% · 23% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al Khaleej Saihat 4–1 Al Okhdood | 2.57–0.31 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Al Khaleej Saihat |
| Al-Ittihad FC 0–1 Al-Ettifaq | 0.95–0.74 | 39% · 34% · 27% | Close call, Al-Ettifaq won |
| Al-Fayha 1–1 Damac | 1.14–0.44 | 53% · 32% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Al-Fayha had 53% |
| Al Kholood 0–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0.80–1.12 | 26% · 31% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Nassr 3–2 Al Shabab | 1.72–0.48 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.