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8 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 23.6 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab 0–0 Al Najma | 1.66–0.46 | 67% · 23% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Al Shabab had 67% |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–1 Al Khaleej Saihat | 3.60–0.50 | 91% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ahli Jeddah |
| Al-Fateh 2–5 Al Kholood | 1.74–2.44 | 27% · 19% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Al Kholood |
| Al Okhdood 2–2 Al Riyadh | 0.88–1.51 | 22% · 26% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Al Riyadh had 52% |
| Damac 1–2 Al-Nassr | 1.05–1.22 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Al-Nassr |
| Al Taawon 2–2 Al-Hazm | 1.43–1.29 | 40% · 26% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–1 Al-Ittihad FC | 1.76–1.38 | 47% · 23% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Al-Qadisiyah FC |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4–1 Al-Fayha | 2.26–0.41 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.