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Premiership 2026/2027 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

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Matches

Matchday 1 in xG

6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 19.5 xG (0.92 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Dundee United 1–1 Rangers1.59–1.4341% · 24% · 34%Draw in line with xG
Falkirk 0–2 St Mirren0.71–1.6416% · 24% · 60%Win in line with xG for St Mirren
Aberdeen 2–1 Hearts2.66–1.3466% · 17% · 17%Win in line with xG for Aberdeen
St Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock2.03–0.9263% · 21% · 16%Win in line with xG for St Johnstone
Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell1.94–2.1935% · 20% · 45%Win in line with xG for Motherwell
Celtic 1–0 Dundee2.55–0.4782% · 13% · 5%Win in line with xG for Celtic

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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