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6 of 6 matches with xG: 16 goals from 19.7 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee 2–0 Aberdeen | 2.22–0.70 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Dundee |
| St Mirren 1–0 St Johnstone | 1.36–1.13 | 42% · 27% · 31% | Win in line with xG for St Mirren |
| Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic | 0.86–5.64 | 1% · 2% · 96% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Hearts 4–0 Dundee United | 2.09–0.54 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
| Motherwell 0–0 Falkirk | 0.89–0.44 | 45% · 38% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rangers 1–2 Hibernian | 2.05–1.74 | 46% · 21% · 33% | Close call, Hibernian won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.