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6 of 6 matches with xG: 16 goals from 15.0 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic 3–0 Aberdeen | 2.47–0.66 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Dundee 1–1 St Johnstone | 1.97–1.08 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Dundee had 58% |
| Kilmarnock 0–1 St Mirren | 0.43–1.09 | 15% · 33% · 52% | Win in line with xG for St Mirren |
| Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United | 2.15–0.19 | 84% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Motherwell |
| Falkirk 1–2 Rangers | 0.85–1.57 | 20% · 25% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| Hibernian 1–3 Hearts | 1.70–0.82 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Won against the xG: Hearts |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.