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6 of 6 matches with xG: 12 goals from 20.6 xG (0.58 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock | 0.85–0.93 | 31% · 33% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dundee United 1–1 Falkirk | 2.27–0.85 | 69% · 18% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Dundee United had 69% |
| Rangers 1–0 Motherwell | 3.93–0.51 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
| St Mirren 1–2 Celtic | 1.74–2.93 | 21% · 17% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Celtic |
| Hearts 2–1 Dundee | 1.87–0.51 | 70% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Hearts |
| St Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian | 2.49–1.72 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for St Johnstone |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.