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6 of 6 matches with xG: 13 goals from 12.6 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee 2–1 Motherwell | 1.36–1.10 | 43% · 27% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Dundee |
| Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen | 1.43–0.77 | 53% · 27% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Hibernian had 53% |
| St Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk | 0.68–0.90 | 26% · 35% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| St Mirren 0–3 Dundee United | 0.85–1.52 | 21% · 26% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Dundee United |
| Kilmarnock 1–1 Hearts | 0.23–1.78 | 4% · 19% · 76% | Draw against the xG: Hearts had 76% |
| Celtic 0–1 Rangers | 0.71–1.23 | 21% · 30% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Rangers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.