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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.6 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria 0–2 Rayo Vallecano | 1.39–2.07 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Sevilla 1–2 Valencia | 0.72–1.12 | 23% · 32% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Real Sociedad 1–1 Girona | 0.99–1.15 | 31% · 29% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Las Palmas 1–1 Mallorca | 0.92–1.61 | 22% · 25% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Mallorca had 54% |
| Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid | 0.45–0.99 | 16% · 35% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Celta Vigo 0–2 Osasuna | 0.96–0.95 | 34% · 32% · 34% | Close call, Osasuna won |
| Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis | 0.91–1.05 | 31% · 31% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Real Betis |
| Getafe 0–0 Barcelona | 0.57–1.49 | 14% · 26% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Barcelona had 60% |
| Cadiz 1–0 Alaves | 0.66–0.25 | 40% · 47% · 12% | Close call, Cadiz won |
| Atletico Madrid 3–1 Granada CF | 2.42–0.94 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.