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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.1 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca 0–1 Villarreal | 0.38–1.95 | 6% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Valencia 1–0 Las Palmas | 1.54–0.52 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Real Sociedad 1–1 Celta Vigo | 0.71–1.13 | 23% · 31% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Almeria 1–3 Real Madrid | 1.33–1.98 | 26% · 22% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Osasuna 0–2 Athletic Club | 1.28–1.56 | 31% · 25% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Girona 3–0 Getafe | 1.42–0.70 | 54% · 27% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Barcelona 2–0 Cadiz | 3.48–1.15 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Real Betis 0–0 Atletico Madrid | 0.74–0.40 | 40% · 42% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alaves 4–3 Sevilla | 1.85–0.64 | 66% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Granada CF 0–2 Rayo Vallecano | 1.19–2.14 | 20% · 20% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.