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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 31.4 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas 0–0 Real Sociedad | 0.91–1.00 | 32% · 32% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Celta Vigo 0–1 Real Madrid | 1.24–1.36 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Cadiz 1–1 Almeria | 1.58–0.26 | 71% · 23% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Cadiz had 71% |
| Granada CF 3–2 Mallorca | 1.43–2.62 | 19% · 18% · 63% | Won against the xG: Granada CF |
| Sevilla 1–2 Girona | 1.47–1.38 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Close call, Girona won |
| Villarreal 3–4 Barcelona | 1.86–3.07 | 22% · 16% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Valencia 1–2 Osasuna | 1.69–1.23 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Won against the xG: Osasuna |
| Athletic Club 4–2 Real Betis | 2.87–0.44 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Getafe 1–0 Alaves | 2.26–0.69 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atletico Madrid | 0.56–3.45 | 3% · 7% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.