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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.8 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz 3–1 Villarreal | 2.09–0.32 | 79% · 16% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Cadiz |
| Almeria 2–3 Celta Vigo | 2.98–1.54 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Won against the xG: Celta Vigo |
| Real Sociedad 5–3 Granada CF | 2.32–0.75 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Real Madrid 2–1 Getafe | 2.79–0.39 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Alaves 1–0 Valencia | 1.30–0.76 | 49% · 29% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Real Betis 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.07–1.43 | 28% · 26% · 45% | Won against the xG: Real Betis |
| Girona 1–0 Las Palmas | 1.03–1.06 | 34% · 30% · 36% | Close call, Girona won |
| Mallorca 0–0 Athletic Club | 0.38–0.62 | 19% · 46% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Osasuna 1–2 Barcelona | 0.77–2.00 | 13% · 20% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Atletico Madrid 1–0 Sevilla | 0.95–0.29 | 51% · 37% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.