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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 29.4 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Alaves | 2.58–0.67 | 78% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Athletic Club 3–0 Cadiz | 2.87–0.29 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Valencia 3–0 Atletico Madrid | 1.84–0.75 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Celta Vigo 0–1 Mallorca | 1.35–0.78 | 50% · 28% · 22% | Won against the xG: Mallorca |
| Barcelona 5–0 Real Betis | 2.42–0.85 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Getafe 3–2 Osasuna | 0.50–1.13 | 16% · 32% · 51% | Won against the xG: Getafe |
| Villarreal 2–1 Almeria | 0.90–1.51 | 22% · 26% · 52% | Won against the xG: Villarreal |
| Sevilla 1–0 Las Palmas | 1.75–1.06 | 54% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Sevilla |
| Real Madrid 2–1 Real Sociedad | 2.05–1.66 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Granada CF 2–4 Girona | 1.62–2.77 | 21% · 17% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.