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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 29.8 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano | 0.39–1.97 | 6% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Rayo Vallecano |
| Real Sociedad 1–1 Alaves | 1.25–0.97 | 43% · 29% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Valencia 3–1 Villarreal | 2.77–0.75 | 79% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Granada CF 2–0 Cadiz | 2.97–0.81 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Granada CF |
| Celta Vigo 2–1 Real Betis | 2.73–1.47 | 64% · 17% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Real Madrid 1–0 Mallorca | 1.71–0.57 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Girona 4–3 Atletico Madrid | 2.42–2.29 | 43% · 19% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Osasuna 1–0 Almeria | 1.27–0.21 | 65% · 29% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Sevilla 0–2 Athletic Club | 0.69–1.35 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Las Palmas 1–2 Barcelona | 0.67–2.51 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.