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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 27.2 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Valencia | 0.31–0.26 | 21% · 61% · 17% | Close call, Valencia won |
| Atletico Madrid 3–3 Getafe | 2.04–2.05 | 40% · 20% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Granada CF 0–3 Sevilla | 0.94–0.49 | 45% · 36% · 19% | Won against the xG: Sevilla |
| Barcelona 3–2 Almeria | 3.69–1.21 | 82% · 10% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Athletic Club 1–0 Las Palmas | 3.56–0.33 | 93% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Villarreal 3–2 Celta Vigo | 2.37–1.28 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Villarreal |
| Real Betis 1–1 Girona | 1.55–1.70 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cadiz 0–0 Real Sociedad | 1.01–0.49 | 48% · 35% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mallorca 3–2 Osasuna | 1.09–1.64 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Won against the xG: Mallorca |
| Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid | 0.59–0.59 | 29% · 42% · 29% | Close call, Real Madrid won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.