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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 25.4 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna 1–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.18–0.63 | 49% · 31% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Osasuna |
| Celta Vigo 1–0 Granada CF | 1.37–0.53 | 58% · 28% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Celta Vigo |
| Athletic Club 2–0 Atletico Madrid | 2.42–0.39 | 82% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Sevilla 0–3 Getafe | 0.97–2.39 | 14% · 18% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Valencia 1–1 Barcelona | 0.54–3.24 | 3% · 8% · 88% | Draw against the xG: Barcelona had 88% |
| Almeria 0–0 Mallorca | 0.30–1.88 | 5% · 19% · 76% | Draw against the xG: Mallorca had 76% |
| Real Sociedad 0–0 Real Betis | 1.12–1.11 | 36% · 29% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Las Palmas 1–1 Cadiz | 0.69–1.38 | 19% · 28% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Cadiz had 54% |
| Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal | 2.32–0.75 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Girona 3–0 Alaves | 1.57–0.64 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.