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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 25.9 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe 1–0 Valencia | 0.74–0.14 | 48% · 46% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Getafe |
| Alaves 0–1 Las Palmas | 1.92–0.38 | 75% · 19% · 6% | Won against the xG: Las Palmas |
| Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid | 1.39–1.03 | 45% · 27% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Villarreal 0–3 Real Sociedad | 2.29–1.47 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Won against the xG: Real Sociedad |
| Mallorca 1–0 Sevilla | 0.48–0.63 | 23% · 44% · 33% | Close call, Mallorca won |
| Atletico Madrid 2–1 Almeria | 2.17–1.36 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
| Cadiz 1–1 Osasuna | 0.87–1.68 | 19% · 24% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Osasuna had 57% |
| Barcelona 2–4 Girona | 3.74–2.48 | 62% · 15% · 24% | Won against the xG: Girona |
| Granada CF 1–1 Athletic Club | 0.70–1.06 | 24% · 33% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Celta Vigo | 1.27–0.15 | 67% · 29% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Rayo Vallecano had 67% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.