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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 24.1 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas 2–0 Getafe | 1.56–0.89 | 53% · 25% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Las Palmas |
| Girona 2–1 Valencia | 1.64–0.98 | 53% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Athletic Club 4–0 Rayo Vallecano | 1.23–0.51 | 54% · 30% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Real Madrid 2–0 Granada CF | 1.81–0.10 | 81% · 18% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Osasuna 1–1 Real Sociedad | 0.69–1.77 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Real Sociedad had 63% |
| Mallorca 0–0 Alaves | 0.80–0.32 | 45% · 42% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Almeria 0–0 Real Betis | 2.41–0.50 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Almeria had 80% |
| Sevilla 1–1 Villarreal | 1.81–1.23 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Sevilla had 51% |
| Barcelona 1–0 Atletico Madrid | 2.55–0.62 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Cadiz | 2.47–0.20 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Celta Vigo had 87% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.