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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.1 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves 1–0 Cadiz | 2.04–0.35 | 78% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Alaves |
| Rayo Vallecano 0–2 Las Palmas | 1.57–0.71 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Won against the xG: Las Palmas |
| Villarreal 1–1 Mallorca | 1.92–0.42 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Villarreal had 74% |
| Valencia 1–0 Athletic Club | 0.89–0.49 | 43% · 37% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Valencia |
| Celta Vigo 0–1 Real Sociedad | 0.26–0.78 | 12% · 43% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Real Sociedad |
| Osasuna 3–2 Getafe | 0.90–1.33 | 25% · 28% · 47% | Won against the xG: Osasuna |
| Real Madrid 3–2 Almeria | 2.25–0.89 | 68% · 18% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Real Madrid |
| Real Betis 2–4 Barcelona | 1.55–2.98 | 18% · 16% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona |
| Girona 5–1 Sevilla | 2.29–0.66 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Girona |
| Granada CF 0–1 Atletico Madrid | 0.65–1.19 | 20% · 31% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Madrid |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.